TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c9,132$4,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,683.021,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c6,579$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.391,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c6,261$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.161,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over50c6,031$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.525655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,845$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under29c1,526$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7218235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under8c1,249$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7412637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over51c1,030$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c959.64$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under8c900$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6911538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under8c900$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under9c803$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under50c731.89$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.6524247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c641.21$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c634.56$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over49c634.56$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over49c634.56$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under15c565$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over49c555.2$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.793,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed Under46c547.96$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.561650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over74c503.19$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.282281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under8c450$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Under8c450$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.54835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over53c437.31$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5442348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c354.48$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x150c…cbb4backed Under55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under14c270$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.940440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c269.79$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over49c266.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under8c240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c228.77$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over56c209.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over52c200.22$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c200.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.011,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.621347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under44c175.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.682,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c150.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7231046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over53c149.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.431238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over52c139.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over49c115.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under9c115$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7624936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c105.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Under53c101.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.053455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over51c101.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Over49c100.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.422339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4563353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2908…789abacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5660346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c96.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6338453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.632277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.7wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under45c86.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over57c85.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.124057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c85.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9633251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c78.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.531,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under46c69.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1755444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c65.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.322,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under51c53.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Under52c50.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2611751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Under47c41.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.374450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Under47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.364748.9%23 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.189652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Over53c38.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2720655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Over52c38.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4221651.4%111 W · 105 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6531551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.246454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over49c35.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0223840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under49c29.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5421649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over43c29.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.631,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Over50c27.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.835036%18 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under42c27.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c25.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.973,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over48c24.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7810743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under54c22.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.156341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c21.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c6…1b67backed Over49c21.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over51c19.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7922454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.