NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5021d1cae5070841cd239c8266c653a485a541feef980ac4eab795b8df3929dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 47c | 8,436$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.26 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,278$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 2,443$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 7c | 1,249$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 10c | 1,065$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 47c | 999.56$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.77 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 906.4$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Under | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 54c | 876.68$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.41 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 53c | 476.73$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.67 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 449.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 444.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 13c | 366$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 14c | 270$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 7c | 249$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 53c | 238.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 55c | 177.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 171.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 51c | 165.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 53c | 159.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 137.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 126.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 108.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 49c | 99.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 51c | 99.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 53c | 91.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 42c | 91.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 91.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 87.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 77.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 75.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 72.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 53c | 63.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 62.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 52.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 46.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 42.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…4e17backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 37.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 51c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 45c | 34.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 34.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 51c | 33.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 32.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…ef01backed Under | 50c | 31.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Under | 51c | 30.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 44c | 26.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 56c | 26.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 51c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 51c | 24.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 53c | 22.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 18.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. TimberwolvesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.