NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb3663b31eb6595945abb7369d6347185abb3f81f0d96e7ca3d66b8a12a154e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.38 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 859.61$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 804.14$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 763.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 536.07$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.54 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Over | 45c | 528.65$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.76 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 483.82$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 413.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 411.3$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 57c | 389.22$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 76c | 376.84$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Under | 59c | 372.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.46 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 32c | 254.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 205.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 186.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 174.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 42c | 164.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 46c | 151.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 134.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 113.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 47c | 100.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 52c | 100.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Over | 40c | 99.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Under | 50c | 92.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 37c | 87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 37c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 42c | 74.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 52c | 65.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 56.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 43c | 48.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 45.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 36.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 68c | 35.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 32c | 32.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 44c | 28.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…aac1backed Under | 54c | 23.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 47c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…99a0backed Under | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 18.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. TimberwolvesHornets won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.