TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Over45c71,775$32,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,298.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f0…bad3backed Under55c71,775$39,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,298.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under55c8,496$4,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.0928350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over45c3,385$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.0312551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under56c2,627$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.4526245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under54c2,563$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.1350153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c2,010$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.155,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over45c2,008$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.8130647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over46c1,935$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.192,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c1,743$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under73c1,304$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.432,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Over45c1,296$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.291643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over45c1,182$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c1,081$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.586,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c983.97$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c967.17$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.126,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c755.85$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.31,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Over45c434.08$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.338144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over45c431.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2527751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c416.54$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1432348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over46c387.04$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.049560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over49c367.18$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.926150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over59c351.34$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2413256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c336.24$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6741051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c326.38$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.799,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under55c273.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9411450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Over56c260.79$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.046747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over39c240.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.931,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under51c210.44$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.765451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Under66c189.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.565962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over45c167.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5921847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over45c141.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8856851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c131.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x687f…5665backed Over45c107.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91a…4ea7backed Over46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.382365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Under55c105.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2919951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Over45c104.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.171741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…4540backed Under51c103.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5311352.2%59 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over20c91.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7745246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over20c91.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7724348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b8…a279backed Over20c91.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over20c91.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7728646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under56c88.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.099151.6%47 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over20c82.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.125349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c79.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.052,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under49c71.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2347350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over44c69.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6278052.2%407 W · 373 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over44c69.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6262554.2%339 W · 286 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Over44c69.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Over44c68.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.622951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over40c68.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.036,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Over45c68.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.632853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over20c66.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.121,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over20c66.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.126538.5%25 W · 40 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over20c66.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1215753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Over49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.345839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over46c65.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.155844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid+243.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under55c63.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1647743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c62.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.082,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…ff82backed Over45c58.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.513534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over20c57.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4551555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over46c57.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5818649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under44c55.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.254740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdec9…5f07backed Over45c54.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x282c…13f2backed Over45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Over45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.187447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under55c53.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8833547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c52.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.748339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under52c50.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0315847.5%75 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.513560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f90…4e02backed Over46c45.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.292458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over43c45.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.319349.5%46 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over45c41.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6113534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c40.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over46c40.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.693540%14 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over50c39.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.419248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over46c36.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6466749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under55c34.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6494549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under56c34.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2121153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under46c32.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.691,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Under56c29.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312864.1%82 W · 46 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4510542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over46c24.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4713144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under56c24.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7146557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under55c21.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5711649.1%57 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3286653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442e…a738backed Under55c18.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.368153.1%43 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.