NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9383aef54ce243f55f56c152ba6d97aafdf66514b3d0c0f28d02e1b678e321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Clippers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Clippers | 10c | 80,538$7,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,728.4 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Clippers | 12c | 23,623$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.74 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 11c | 8,260$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers | 15c | 7,977$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.61 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Clippers | 11c | 4,951$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Clippers | 4c | 4,498$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Clippers | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Clippers | 8c | 3,432$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers | 9c | 1,375$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…7a06backed Clippers | 11c | 1,162$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…94ffbacked Clippers | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…276fbacked Clippers | 15c | 1,079$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Clippers | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…160abacked Clippers | 11c | 949.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed Clippers | 11c | 940$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…682abacked Clippers | 11c | 891.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Clippers | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Clippers | 10c | 804.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers | 11c | 599.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…0cc7backed Clippers | 10c | 521.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Clippers | 11c | 519.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Clippers | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Clippers | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…6c47backed Clippers | 12c | 399.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…7985backed Clippers | 11c | 394.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Clippers | 10c | 388.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Clippers | 14c | 358.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Clippers | 10c | 249.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Clippers | 7c | 233.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e248backed Clippers | 11c | 230.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 30.9%59 W · 132 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Clippers | 10c | 205.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Clippers | 10c | 199.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Clippers | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…984fbacked Clippers | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…b3d6backed Clippers | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…008cbacked Clippers | 11c | 170.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Clippers | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Clippers | 10c | 148.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Clippers | 11c | 144$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 172 | 39%67 W · 105 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Clippers | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Clippers | 11c | 127.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 550 | 50.9%280 W · 270 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Clippers | 11c | 123$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Clippers | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2b…f278backed Clippers | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Clippers | 10c | 103.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 197 | 51.3%101 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Clippers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…b7c8backed Clippers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.