Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Omaha Mavericks vs. Lamar Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530cd57f9ec357c6f98a8f034b765f6537563bc1d77b0826b1ebedb465752774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omaha Mavericksof Omaha Mavericks, Lamar Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lamar Cardinals | 1c | 6,752$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lamar Cardinals | 10c | 5,897$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.33 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 23c | 4,361$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.65 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Omaha Mavericks | 28c | 2,458$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Lamar Cardinals | 8c | 1,574$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Omaha Mavericks | 52c | 1,127$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Omaha Mavericks | 32c | 700.34$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.11 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 9c | 700$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Omaha Mavericks | 20c | 617.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.76 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Omaha Mavericks | 4c | 600$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.23 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Omaha Mavericks | 7c | 600$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lamar Cardinals | 65c | 599.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 16c | 504.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.24 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Omaha Mavericks | 9c | 470.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.72 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Omaha Mavericks | 35c | 359.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 39c | 321$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lamar Cardinals | 71c | 201$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Omaha Mavericks | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Omaha Mavericks | 66c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Omaha Mavericks | 51c | 178$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Omaha Mavericks | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Omaha Mavericks | 65c | 114$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Omaha Mavericks | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…008cbacked Omaha Mavericks | 76c | 65.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Omaha Mavericks | 29c | 59.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omaha Mavericks | 61c | 53.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Omaha Mavericks | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Omaha Mavericks | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.