Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97ba993e5f5177df9ae661dbf6bb2743bdfc7d77b80302bb3907a11f7abd077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof BBL Esports, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed BBL Esports | 18c | 4,927$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 1,812$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.42 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire | 78c | 1,233$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed BBL Esports | 7c | 992.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…94b8backed BBL Esports | 7c | 781.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…be04backed BBL Esports | 7c | 780.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked BBL Esports | 10c | 748.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed BBL Esports | 52c | 643.39$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…7a9cbacked BBL Esports | 9c | 523.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 517.86$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…db37backed BBL Esports | 11c | 450.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 388.67$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 344.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.23 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…7eefbacked BBL Esports | 8c | 308.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked BBL Esports | 24c | 296.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eternal Fire | 77c | 266.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…c75dbacked BBL Esports | 7c | 216.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…e125backed BBL Esports | 6c | 214.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…d61fbacked BBL Esports | 8c | 199.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…1e51backed BBL Esports | 8c | 186.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed BBL Esports | 11c | 181.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…5b2abacked BBL Esports | 7c | 173.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3c…9168backed BBL Esports | 8c | 164.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 160.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 160.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…d466backed BBL Esports | 8c | 160.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…234cbacked BBL Esports | 8c | 150.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…6554backed BBL Esports | 8c | 148.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed BBL Esports | 8c | 148.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…3b33backed BBL Esports | 8c | 148.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a982backed BBL Esports | 10c | 146.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 145.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed BBL Esports | 14c | 141.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 125.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed BBL Esports | 22c | 122.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked BBL Esports | 19c | 113.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked BBL Esports | 21c | 91.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked BBL Esports | 68c | 90.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…c9a5backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 88.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed BBL Esports | 42c | 81.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…ff95backed BBL Esports | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 79.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 79.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked BBL Esports | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…8b41backed BBL Esports | 42c | 69.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked BBL Esports | 51c | 68.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BBL Esports | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…81b9backed BBL Esports | 18c | 63.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed BBL Esports | 51c | 59.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 51.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BBL Esports | 49c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed BBL Esports | 34c | 42.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 40.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…ab5abacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 34.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…f4a7backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 33.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 31.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 27.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…ec9abacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 25.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…fd38backed BBL Esports | 50c | 25.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 22.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed BBL Esports | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 18.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed BBL Esports | 68c | 17.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.