Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f782cd6729e4eea608152f8fd1cf744ede55c4daf8cad72ad71745044e9420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof BBL Esports, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked BBL Esports | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 1,195$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 706.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked BBL Esports | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 230.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked BBL Esports | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed BBL Esports | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 138.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed BBL Esports | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 95.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed BBL Esports | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed BBL Esports | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…27cfbacked BBL Esports | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed BBL Esports | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 46.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed BBL Esports | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed BBL Esports | 48c | 42.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed BBL Esports | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…2522backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.