Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6152358474f2f2b35d9453a6b2151bcb7f90f943f5bd5dfa0e27e11cfb4cbdf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 1,022$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.08 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 70c | 756.01$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 67c | 746.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.16 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 30c | 733$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 72c | 542.93$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 34c | 466.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Over | 69c | 343.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 66c | 314.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 72c | 274$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 62c | 230.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 28c | 222.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Over | 63c | 203.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 31c | 202.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 180.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 169.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 25c | 163$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 63c | 155.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 32c | 136$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 131.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 33c | 108.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 34c | 105.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 36c | 95.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 58c | 94.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 43c | 94.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 20c | 87.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 73c | 77.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 70c | 75.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Over | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…472abacked Over | 67c | 70.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 162 | 64.2%104 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 48c | 67.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…6a5ebacked Over | 78c | 64.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 205 | 73.7%151 W · 54 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 42c | 49.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 49.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Over | 71c | 48.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 66c | 45.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -13.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 71c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 34c | 34.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)DN SOOPers Challengers won
- Game Handicap: DNS.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5)Kiwoom DRX Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-InDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 WinnerKiwoom DRX Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.