CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd986c1d04bc486d216c092f026fc2674c0abfadbd6432d7c49e44cd136e7c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof SemperFi Esports, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked SemperFi Esports | 11c | 194,909$20,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,943.35 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked SemperFi Esports | 12c | 27,815$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.66 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Liquid | 74c | 20,614$15,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.83 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SemperFi Esports | 11c | 15,510$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.18 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 78c | 13,686$10,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.99 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…31bcbacked SemperFi Esports | 28c | 11,746$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked SemperFi Esports | 1c | 11,690$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid | 74c | 11,202$8,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.6 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…3359backed SemperFi Esports | 0c | 10,962$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…5d02backed SemperFi Esports | 0c | 10,190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Liquid | 73c | 10,187$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.34 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15da…d514backed SemperFi Esports | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 8,797$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.62 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed SemperFi Esports | 23c | 8,598$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed SemperFi Esports | 15c | 7,813$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.62 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Liquid | 79c | 5,672$4,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.21 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked SemperFi Esports | 15c | 5,340$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.18 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed SemperFi Esports | 15c | 5,132$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.78 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid | 75c | 5,000$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.52 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid | 72c | 4,567$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.19 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked SemperFi Esports | 9c | 4,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed SemperFi Esports | 27c | 3,860$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.08 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed SemperFi Esports | 13c | 3,500$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 3,087$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.12 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 3,012$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked SemperFi Esports | 17c | 2,816$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.54 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Liquid | 76c | 2,676$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.93 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed SemperFi Esports | 19c | 2,655$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 2,572$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…bb7ebacked SemperFi Esports | 25c | 2,540$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 2,527$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Liquid | 80c | 2,372$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.49 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed SemperFi Esports | 25c | 2,279$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked SemperFi Esports | 12c | 2,213$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 2,203$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid | 77c | 2,159$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Liquid | 72c | 2,140$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.11 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Liquid | 72c | 2,137$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.41 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked SemperFi Esports | 1c | 2,128$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed SemperFi Esports | 16c | 2,098$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.26 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed SemperFi Esports | 20c | 2,043$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Liquid | 73c | 2,033$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.2 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed SemperFi Esports | 28c | 1,898$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.91 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…c382backed SemperFi Esports | 7c | 1,883$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…67b5backed SemperFi Esports | 3c | 1,834$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked SemperFi Esports | 10c | 1,804$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SemperFi Esports | 5c | 1,733$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed SemperFi Esports | 6c | 1,656$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 1,638$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed SemperFi Esports | 2c | 1,624$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked SemperFi Esports | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SemperFi Esports | 6c | 1,579$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed SemperFi Esports | 13c | 1,545$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked SemperFi Esports | 26c | 1,500$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed SemperFi Esports | 6c | 1,500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed SemperFi Esports | 27c | 1,465$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Liquid | 73c | 1,447$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.6 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Liquid | 71c | 1,420$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed SemperFi Esports | 26c | 1,413$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.32 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…5ce7backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 1,408$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked SemperFi Esports | 27c | 1,400$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.06 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 1,374$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Liquid | 71c | 1,315$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 1,314$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed SemperFi Esports | 26c | 1,278$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed SemperFi Esports | 16c | 1,266$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed SemperFi Esports | 27c | 1,259$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed SemperFi Esports | 26c | 1,250$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Liquid | 74c | 1,220$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.91 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked SemperFi Esports | 26c | 1,118$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.63 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fb…4d94backed SemperFi Esports | 26c | 1,112$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…21adbacked SemperFi Esports | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed SemperFi Esports | 5c | 1,058$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed SemperFi Esports | 14c | 1,034$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 69 | 15.9%11 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 1,032$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…477cbacked SemperFi Esports | 30c | 1,017$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked SemperFi Esports | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed SemperFi Esports | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 999.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 999.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked SemperFi Esports | 23c | 979.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked SemperFi Esports | 15c | 925.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Liquid | 73c | 900$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked SemperFi Esports | 4c | 894.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed SemperFi Esports | 20c | 890$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SemperFi Esports | 8c | 877.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…8f90backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 877.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked SemperFi Esports | 18c | 872$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Liquid | 74c | 812.36$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed SemperFi Esports | 14c | 805.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed SemperFi Esports | 8c | 805.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…500cbacked SemperFi Esports | 8c | 803.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed SemperFi Esports | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked SemperFi Esports | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1this page
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerSemperFi Esports won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs SemperFi Esports (+1.5)SemperFi Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.