CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a64d9e1649df519bd2820271b12aff73375372dfddf5d2679ad9cf1d970b783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SemperFi Esportsof SemperFi Esports, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed SemperFi Esports | 60c | 11,071$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.38 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid | 49c | 4,810$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.92 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked SemperFi Esports | 36c | 4,704$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.03 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Liquid | 38c | 3,377$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.26 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed SemperFi Esports | 47c | 3,001$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.23 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 46c | 2,585$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked SemperFi Esports | 19c | 2,374$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.05 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Liquid | 49c | 1,923$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.93 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Liquid | 42c | 1,808$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.6 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Liquid | 56c | 1,791$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed SemperFi Esports | 41c | 1,774$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.03 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed SemperFi Esports | 47c | 1,719$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.94 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…bb7ebacked Liquid | 10c | 1,700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Liquid | 47c | 1,518$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.73 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Liquid | 52c | 1,412$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Liquid | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed SemperFi Esports | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 60c | 1,129$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Liquid | 40c | 1,109$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.6 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked SemperFi Esports | 19c | 1,045$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.87 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Liquid | 58c | 1,020$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.2 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Liquid | 62c | 1,000$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.55 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked SemperFi Esports | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Liquid | 42c | 722.58$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed SemperFi Esports | 50c | 690$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked SemperFi Esports | 59c | 673.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed SemperFi Esports | 55c | 666.82$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.07 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Liquid | 51c | 634.75$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SemperFi Esports | 31c | 590.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Liquid | 53c | 585.85$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Liquid | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 49c | 563.27$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Liquid | 34c | 528.48$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked SemperFi Esports | 42c | 510.34$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed SemperFi Esports | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Liquid | 33c | 500$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked SemperFi Esports | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed SemperFi Esports | 15c | 440.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.14 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked SemperFi Esports | 63c | 421$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed SemperFi Esports | 14c | 420$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Liquid | 52c | 409.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Liquid | 36c | 402.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed SemperFi Esports | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Liquid | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed SemperFi Esports | 68c | 333.9$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Liquid | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked SemperFi Esports | 62c | 320.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed SemperFi Esports | 50c | 319.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid | 57c | 311.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed SemperFi Esports | 41c | 311.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Liquid | 54c | 294.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Liquid | 17c | 293.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed SemperFi Esports | 45c | 290$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed SemperFi Esports | 75c | 283.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 33c | 273.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SemperFi Esports | 55c | 256.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Liquid | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed SemperFi Esports | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Liquid | 63c | 214.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked SemperFi Esports | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed SemperFi Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Liquid | 44c | 202.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed SemperFi Esports | 46c | 192.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked SemperFi Esports | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked SemperFi Esports | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked SemperFi Esports | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aec4backed Liquid | 32c | 179.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked SemperFi Esports | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked SemperFi Esports | 54c | 170.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid | 58c | 167.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Liquid | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Liquid | 55c | 154.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…b3e8backed SemperFi Esports | 63c | 150.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid | 43c | 145.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed SemperFi Esports | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked SemperFi Esports | 52c | 128.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Liquid | 46c | 109.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Liquid | 59c | 100.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Liquid | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Liquid | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed SemperFi Esports | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Liquid | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed SemperFi Esports | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Liquid | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Liquid | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed SemperFi Esports | 46c | 92.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed SemperFi Esports | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Liquid | 25c | 87.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked SemperFi Esports | 62c | 86.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed SemperFi Esports | 61c | 82.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Liquid | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…0c89backed SemperFi Esports | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Liquid | 53c | 79.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…27d0backed Liquid | 26c | 77.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SemperFi Esports | 49c | 76.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Liquid | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Liquid | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked SemperFi Esports | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked SemperFi Esports | 42c | 68.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs SemperFi Esports (+1.5)SemperFi Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.