Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad2a257b71109fa2972a454eb872993d867305cd3d83fe355d4abc867a3243f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc7…4003backed RED Canids | 56c | 11,299$6,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.09 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked LOUD | 60c | 3,598$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.95 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked LOUD | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LOUD | 53c | 3,000$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.99 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed RED Canids | 15c | 2,400$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked RED Canids | 57c | 2,320$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.02 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD | 43c | 1,821$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.06 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 48c | 1,811$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.83 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LOUD | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD | 60c | 1,492$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.44 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed LOUD | 47c | 1,483$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.06 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked RED Canids | 42c | 1,183$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked RED Canids | 55c | 1,130$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.64 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed RED Canids | 55c | 1,107$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.88 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed LOUD | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked RED Canids | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids | 54c | 799.97$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.98 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LOUD | 44c | 765.18$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.45 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed RED Canids | 32c | 699.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD | 44c | 682.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.38 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD | 42c | 660.52$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.03 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed LOUD | 44c | 607.73$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed RED Canids | 57c | 559.98$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.19 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed RED Canids | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed LOUD | 45c | 470.26$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked RED Canids | 55c | 444.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed RED Canids | 58c | 440.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD | 58c | 432.86$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed LOUD | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 43c | 382.71$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LOUD | 46c | 373.78$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.33 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked LOUD | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 44c | 296.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LOUD | 69c | 289.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed RED Canids | 57c | 265.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked RED Canids | 58c | 259.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed LOUD | 46c | 216.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LOUD | 46c | 214.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 51c | 208.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked RED Canids | 58c | 201.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed LOUD | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed LOUD | 53c | 127.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed LOUD | 46c | 122.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed RED Canids | 44c | 106.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked RED Canids | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LOUD | 46c | 94.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked LOUD | 43c | 93.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed RED Canids | 58c | 91.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked LOUD | 67c | 88.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked LOUD | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked LOUD | 58c | 57.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed LOUD | 44c | 56.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed LOUD | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked RED Canids | 20c | 54.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed RED Canids | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…3045backed RED Canids | 55c | 50.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked RED Canids | 61c | 41.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed RED Canids | 60c | 35.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked RED Canids | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed LOUD | 46c | 31.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed LOUD | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked LOUD | 47c | 29.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed RED Canids | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed LOUD | 43c | 23.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed LOUD | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked LOUD | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked LOUD | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked LOUD | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 3 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.