Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62765838368c2c32f11077d023a2a0feae485be5849447f9e55bce49a45b8d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 36c | 3,330$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.06 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,642$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.85 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 2,627$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.14 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 2,282$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.77 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 63c | 2,094$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.52 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 1,525$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.75 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 1,515$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.63 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,211$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 37c | 1,100$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 63c | 917.79$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 697.37$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.89 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 646.17$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 32c | 642.75$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 73c | 583.58$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 570$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 540.91$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 49c | 518.26$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 69c | 488.48$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 67c | 482.42$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 28c | 477.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.98 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 62c | 436.07$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 50c | 400$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 399$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 50c | 360.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 71c | 347.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 22c | 340$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 306.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…8557backed Yes | 58c | 302.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Yes | 51c | 301.41$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 300.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 30c | 293.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 29c | 278.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 29c | 264$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked No | 70c | 245.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 15c | 205$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 6c | 200.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 37c | 194.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 173.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9475…a29ebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 12c | 171.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 40c | 167.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 131.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 24c | 121.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 44c | 121.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 44c | 113.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 49c | 112.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 56c | 102.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed No | 37c | 99.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed No | 41c | 97.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 37c | 97.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 93.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 70c | 85.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 50c | 77.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…cf19backed Yes | 39c | 77.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 37c | 61.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 37c | 57.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 37c | 56.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 41c | 54.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 60c | 53.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed No | 57c | 45.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 28c | 43.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…1952backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…8d23backed Yes | 70c | 42.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…7a1cbacked Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…0103backed Yes | 51c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…c0eebacked Yes | 59c | 37.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 50c | 36.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked No | 37c | 33.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked No | 37c | 31.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 31.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 70c | 28.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Yes | 46c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.