Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2aeb333e0438cafe9786a55440844a970ecf88e4079da04b54d8622fcfb4930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 23,826$11,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,255.87 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 13,133$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.94 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 7,544$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.81 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 5,776$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.44 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 2,297$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.01 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 44c | 1,510$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.39 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,495$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 53c | 1,169$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 23c | 1,162$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 754.35$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.53 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 57c | 753.93$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.51 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 627.7$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 59c | 591.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 48c | 585.42$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 74c | 511.81$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 55c | 507.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 14c | 497.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 400.01$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 75c | 384.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 344.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 317.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 48c | 312.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Yes | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 6c | 246.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 233.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 24c | 204.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 10c | 202.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked No | 54c | 177.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 80c | 167$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 37c | 163.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 162.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 19c | 157.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes | 47c | 150.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 149.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 14c | 143.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 12c | 104.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 19c | 96.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 47c | 92.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 80c | 85.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 23c | 73.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 70.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 25c | 66.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 24c | 53.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 46c | 36.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 77c | 34.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 75c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…66b2backed No | 69c | 27.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked No | 77c | 27.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 68c | 22.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.