TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$653,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$655,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under47c609,243$286,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286,212.4820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over53c555,728$294,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,192.053053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under45c18,041$8,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,118.4810451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over53c11,111$5,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,222.177949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c11,051$6,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,972.951,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c9,138$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.392,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over54c7,930$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.6356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over53c5,840$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.361,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.5531550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over53c3,500$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.73953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under6c3,278$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.62638.5%10 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+228.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under60c2,304$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.515431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over57c2,148$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.4321036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c1,856$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.12,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over55c1,630$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.59052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.051,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over53c1,204$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.891,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c1,108$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.062,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c1,102$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.7983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over54c1,033$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.681,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under42c881.74$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over49c863.09$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.4616738.9%65 W · 102 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c531.14$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58bb…d337backed Under3c525.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over58c456.37$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.569346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over15c385.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.529412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over53c380.65$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.65850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over55c365.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4818151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over55c347.14$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.212060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over54c321.13$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7260449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over55c306.17$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.781861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over58c287.93$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.939547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under6c274.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.623729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Over58c257.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314065.7%92 W · 48 L+13.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over55c234.6$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over58c223.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7811557.4%66 W · 49 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over52c216.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0411533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3801…83ddbacked Over54c202.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8459950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9227049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over54c197.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7412943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over57c183$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.696167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over48c182$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.641,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over58c158$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1315354.9%84 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b2…17dcbacked Over46c150.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over58c149.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8238551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over57c112$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.164450%22 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Over57c108$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.442040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Over55c107.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under25c106.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.871,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c105.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.212,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622f…9992backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c95.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1369653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under45c86.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.551,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Over53c75.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.282733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over53c75.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4745151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Over58c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under46c73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7747944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over57c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.535955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc1…8b83backed Over58c70.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.481942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over58c68.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.395947.5%28 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…241bbacked Over32c67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.176342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.242114.3%3 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c61.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.641,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Over49c50.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.513954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552451%267 W · 257 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc400…7c6bbacked Over41c49.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.591643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Over41c49.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.592065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Over57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Under43c49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.071637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Under43c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Under43c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014542.8%62 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over43c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2211840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Over58c44.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over58c43.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1878651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.14953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Over58c42.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.894452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Under44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65472.2%39 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick72cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd87…decabacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over55c39.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1817356.6%98 W · 75 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Over57c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.343658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3616755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.