NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc68ec2beff384ddb8943747dfef2151b80bfe24de99f8396f1616781c6b8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 4,943$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 55c | 577.27$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 12c | 543$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 487.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 45c | 478.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Over | 43c | 357.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 46c | 350$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Under | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 126.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 83.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 69.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Over | 44c | 40.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 31c | 39.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…b6c7backed Over | 45c | 36.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…9220backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 56c | 23.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…fb0dbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.