NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f01f5acf745d2891fe7083477f8605a9823a6ffced3b50db2ddc04c42129213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Panthers | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes | 38c | 4,485$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.92 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes | 37c | 3,714$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.07 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Panthers | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…5053backed Hurricanes | 38c | 966$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 61c | 716.95$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.34 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…519ebacked Panthers | 62c | 360$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…e180backed Panthers | 62c | 340$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…0151backed Panthers | 62c | 320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Hurricanes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 62c | 207.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hurricanes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Panthers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Panthers | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 61c | 108$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hurricanes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Panthers | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…9431backed Hurricanes | 40c | 58.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Panthers | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Hurricanes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Panthers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Hurricanes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.