TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hanfmannof Hanfmann, Svajda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Hanfmann58c8,958$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.448,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Svajda61c8,000$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Svajda36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Svajda55c5,735$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.3122641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hanfmann47c4,465$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.242,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hanfmann60c4,041$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Hanfmann54c3,928$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.3813844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked Svajda45c3,162$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.622568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Hanfmann41c3,093$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.6278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Hanfmann40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80057939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hanfmann39c2,976$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Svajda59c2,886$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Hanfmann40c2,547$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.715046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hanfmann55c2,498$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.097,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hanfmann54c2,188$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.882,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Svajda44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Svajda39c1,500$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Svajda60c1,150$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6908158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Svajda60c1,067$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64013852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Hanfmann43c930$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.111843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Hanfmann43c797$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4227231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Svajda57c750$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Svajda59c742.16$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.221,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Hanfmann40c737$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.21,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked Svajda32c730$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6258%2 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hanfmann42c699.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40627944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Hanfmann43c696.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Svajda45c667$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.541,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Hanfmann38c620.15$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.327733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Svajda53c572.24$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9628444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Hanfmann70c559$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1462061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Svajda52c539.86$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Svajda60c536.98$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32126158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Svajda57c517.02$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1339144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Svajda48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Svajda58c492.55$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8270148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Svajda39c463.54$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.462,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Hanfmann44c456.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.951,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Svajda32c436.12$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9719023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Svajda37c424.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5928139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Svajda59c367.7$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Svajda56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Svajda61c333$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1343042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Hanfmann50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Hanfmann44c319$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.396756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Svajda60c295.2$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1224448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Svajda53c294.46$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.375343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2f…35efbacked Svajda35c288.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.91844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Svajda35c285.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.432450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Svajda45c270.42$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.022,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Svajda61c263.25$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.583737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hanfmann52c262.57$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.192,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Svajda39c254.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0622236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Hanfmann41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf463…8e9dbacked Svajda60c223$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Hanfmann66c210.61$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6142558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanfmann54c207.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.014,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hanfmann44c205.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.022,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Hanfmann42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Hanfmann42c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9332…280ebacked Svajda30c199.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.677122.5%16 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Svajda40c198.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4212335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Hanfmann59c192.75$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.457041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Svajda44c188.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4122744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5650…8cbabacked Svajda53c185.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.07825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa402…4d84backed Svajda58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Svajda59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Svajda56c164.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.481030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Hanfmann61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9312752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Hanfmann57c156.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.032857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Hanfmann70c153.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.884761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hanfmann40c151.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.352,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Svajda29c148$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.023423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Hanfmann42c145.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.312,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Svajda39c137.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7230741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hanfmann41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Svajda40c122.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7639431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hanfmann40c120.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.051,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Hanfmann73c113.07$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.811,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad7…c455backed Svajda58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…8b83backed Svajda53c103.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Svajda44c103$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.321,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Svajda56c102.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4622344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Hanfmann42c100.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Svajda60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Hanfmann41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5925743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Svajda60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Svajda60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Hanfmann44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565425.9%14 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Svajda49c99.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa15e…8cacbacked Hanfmann41c97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2321361.5%131 W · 82 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Svajda34c94.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.336043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c7d…5aeebacked Svajda38c93.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354422.7%10 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Hanfmann45c90.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Svajda59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Svajda59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Svajda60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Svajda61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013461.9%83 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Svajda47c80.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.794951%25 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hanfmann41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.