TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida International Golden Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida International Golden Panthersof Florida International Golden Panthers, New Mexico State Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico State Aggies43c6,043$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.445,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Florida International Golden Panthers58c2,951$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.8839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida International Golden Panthers23c1,087$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.961,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida International Golden Panthers58c988.87$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.321,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida International Golden Panthers52c497.18$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.644,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida International Golden Panthers56c434.73$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.141,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Florida International Golden Panthers68c411.83$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.642,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida International Golden Panthers62c410.57$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.063,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked New Mexico State Aggies35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Florida International Golden Panthers54c381.28$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.491,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida International Golden Panthers61c377.19$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.313,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico State Aggies74c376.78$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.352,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed New Mexico State Aggies53c368.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2618654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico State Aggies17c276.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.622,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida International Golden Panthers44c276$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.182,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked New Mexico State Aggies28c214.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5936535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed New Mexico State Aggies19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed New Mexico State Aggies37c198$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Florida International Golden Panthers61c195.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida International Golden Panthers75c181.88$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.81,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida International Golden Panthers23c162.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.943,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Florida International Golden Panthers40c150.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4553646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Florida International Golden Panthers62c139.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6548051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…78e6backed New Mexico State Aggies80c122.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…3365backed New Mexico State Aggies52c122.27$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed New Mexico State Aggies22c98.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5225325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed New Mexico State Aggies77c97.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8915947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico State Aggies77c92.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.785,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed New Mexico State Aggies30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257324.7%18 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers72c75.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.891,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Florida International Golden Panthers51c62.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3638343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Florida International Golden Panthers55c54.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.412,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed New Mexico State Aggies42c51.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed New Mexico State Aggies26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.138342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked New Mexico State Aggies66c45.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Florida International Golden Panthers57c38.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4710252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Florida International Golden Panthers56c35.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.571,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a11…de7cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies74c26.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers52c25.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.338341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Florida International Golden Panthers54c22.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed New Mexico State Aggies77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9429442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Florida International Golden Panthers62c21.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ec…aa0fbacked Florida International Golden Panthers67c20.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.