Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca5729850ce06a857238248427ab21dc2020b6c04315cc865f2b68dac553d97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,184 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 20,551$6,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yellow Submarine | 20c | 17,031$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.51 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 9,700$7,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.99 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 9,513$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.06 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 7,093$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.62 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 6,006$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.1 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 3,668$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.38 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 3,385$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.96 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 2,190$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.67 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,131$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.39 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 2,035$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.02 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,940$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 1,892$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.66 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 1,775$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 1,694$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,438$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.4 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Yellow Submarine | 21c | 1,362$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 1,280$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yellow Submarine | 2c | 1,046$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine | 28c | 1,045$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yellow Submarine | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 951.6$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Yellow Submarine | 28c | 919$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.52 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 913.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yellow Submarine | 19c | 906.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 850$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.35 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 812.93$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 700$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 630.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Yellow Submarine | 3c | 541.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 515.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 500.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 500$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 476.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 454.24$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 428.28$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 428.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yellow Submarine | 19c | 396.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Yellow Submarine | 5c | 368.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 358.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yellow Submarine | 9c | 357.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 355.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 337.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Yellow Submarine | 5c | 323.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 313.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 297.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 279.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 275.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 260.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 258.32$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 254.22$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 252$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 217.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 215.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 207.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Yellow Submarine | 13c | 203.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 203.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 197.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 189.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 183.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 183.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 183.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 157.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 146.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…f17abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 134.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 129.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 125.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 110.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 108.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…831cbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 103.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 103.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…a24bbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 97.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 93.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 92.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 89.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 89.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 85.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 82.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 80.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 70.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.