Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd8813d54e43e1b63f35551e4c7790ac3a64aa10fd524b053514e3c3e686f534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof Paper Rex, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,571 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Paper Rex | 56c | 9,424$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.32 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed All Gamers | 42c | 6,658$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paper Rex | 57c | 2,314$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.56 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked All Gamers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed Paper Rex | 58c | 2,069$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed All Gamers | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed All Gamers | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.04 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Paper Rex | 59c | 1,476$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.08 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked All Gamers | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Paper Rex | 56c | 1,171$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Paper Rex | 50c | 1,112$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked All Gamers | 49c | 1,065$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.48 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed All Gamers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked All Gamers | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 57c | 876.32$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked All Gamers | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked All Gamers | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Paper Rex | 57c | 545.5$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…00d2backed All Gamers | 36c | 530$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed All Gamers | 44c | 522.92$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed All Gamers | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Paper Rex | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…f14fbacked All Gamers | 36c | 388$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…b784backed All Gamers | 36c | 358$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked All Gamers | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…9b31backed All Gamers | 36c | 322$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Paper Rex | 56c | 259.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…0a14backed Paper Rex | 64c | 257$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed All Gamers | 44c | 231.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0355backed Paper Rex | 64c | 229$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed All Gamers | 44c | 227.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed All Gamers | 44c | 224.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…35d2backed Paper Rex | 64c | 211$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed All Gamers | 45c | 209.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…8345backed Paper Rex | 64c | 197$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…e155backed Paper Rex | 64c | 192$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…2db5backed Paper Rex | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…86c4backed Paper Rex | 64c | 178$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…5a7ebacked Paper Rex | 64c | 144$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Paper Rex | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…2a5ebacked All Gamers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed All Gamers | 45c | 92.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed All Gamers | 42c | 84.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Paper Rex | 58c | 82.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 76.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Paper Rex | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…960cbacked All Gamers | 59c | 59.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Paper Rex | 77c | 56.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed All Gamers | 56c | 52.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Paper Rex | 58c | 51.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed Paper Rex | 59c | 47.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed All Gamers | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Paper Rex | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed All Gamers | 42c | 40.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…e2ffbacked All Gamers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked All Gamers | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Paper Rex | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed All Gamers | 45c | 27.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked All Gamers | 57c | 25.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed All Gamers | 50c | 25.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed All Gamers | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked All Gamers | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Paper Rex | 58c | 24.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…455bbacked Paper Rex | 56c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…8dc4backed Paper Rex | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.