Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Robert Morris Colonials
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c6058748acf18d00a0c2fe5568c7cbfd107c7180f9d1a8fc72350472aec2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Green Bay Phoenix, Robert Morris Colonials
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 5,759$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 957.75$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 924$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 68c | 921.5$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 68c | 695.87$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.67 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Robert Morris Colonials | 33c | 660$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Green Bay Phoenix | 64c | 629$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 39c | 559.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 467.05$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Green Bay Phoenix | 51c | 456$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 413.38$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 59c | 386.04$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Robert Morris Colonials | 22c | 208.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 204$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 31c | 186.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Robert Morris Colonials | 54c | 170.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 17c | 149$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 137.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 64c | 137$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 71c | 136$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Robert Morris Colonials | 37c | 129$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Robert Morris Colonials | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Robert Morris Colonials | 13c | 92.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 79.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Green Bay Phoenix | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 73c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 44.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Green Bay Phoenix | 54c | 31.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 27.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 23.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…3867backed Green Bay Phoenix | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 18.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Green Bay Phoenix | 64c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 72c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Robert Morris Colonialsthis page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 143.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.