World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4717f1118a739e898848610e68d74ea6cdf6ded0fedc3940143b9f3d57ff254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 8c | 7,777$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…aabbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Yes | 23c | 1,270$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.59 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 32c | 1,001$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 24c | 859$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 76c | 859$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 6c | 799.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 6c | 699.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Yes | 2c | 598.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 17c | 423.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 15c | 319.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 25c | 314.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 36c | 275.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…441ebacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…96b7backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…bf0dbacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…bd44backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150b…ad7ebacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 6c | 265.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…4f37backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…d247backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3512…2ffdbacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…1958backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…affcbacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…154ebacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 16c | 257.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 8c | 255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…2723backed Yes | 28c | 251.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…e2c7backed Yes | 37c | 230$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 202.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 22c | 193.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 62c | 186$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 166.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…67acbacked No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…4c82backed No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…6e02backed No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…0ebbbacked No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…441abacked No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c4…f943backed No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681a…162bbacked No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…2d78backed No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…f6c2backed No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…2448backed Yes | 32c | 158.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…1ff1backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca54…6646backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…f278backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…353cbacked No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…5ce8backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…0cb4backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb0…9cebbacked No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…be34backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…9700backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…9f3abacked No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…baafbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 64c | 148$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed Yes | 14c | 138$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 137.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…2830backed No | 62c | 129$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 123.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…d9a6backed Yes | 15c | 120.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…16b1backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 24c | 82.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…9c69backed Yes | 14c | 77.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 74.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 64c | 68.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Yes | 33c | 63.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…c518backed Yes | 42c | 55.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 30c | 54.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed No | 70c | 52.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…9c55backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…cde4backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…24adbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 35c | 41.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 37.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 36.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 63c | 32.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 65c | 32.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…9332backed No | 62c | 29.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 37c | 28.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.