Us Politics · resolved market
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae17626256882bd2613e6fff58a35f0a3a127641aa657aa01e8a0811808c7dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x431d…a7d9backed Yes | 16c | 78,776$12,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,919.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 0c | 30,240$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 17,492$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…d819backed Yes | 2c | 10,016$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…23e4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…878abacked Yes | 3c | 9,278$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 5c | 8,552$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.48 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 18c | 6,433$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 2c | 5,749$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed Yes | 14c | 5,615$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 5,391$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…7049backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…ecd4backed Yes | 1c | 3,979$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 4c | 3,972$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 1c | 3,699$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 15c | 3,692$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.8 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…bcebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,571$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 10c | 2,277$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,149$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b618backed Yes | 14c | 2,053$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed Yes | 14c | 1,961$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 11c | 1,955$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…a820backed Yes | 11c | 1,775$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,595$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 5c | 1,570$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…d355backed Yes | 2c | 1,566$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,520$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…0828backed Yes | 1c | 1,476$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,451$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 73c | 1,307$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…5017backed Yes | 2c | 1,278$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a30…22f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,227$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 9c | 1,183$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes | 2c | 1,123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…0da3backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,082$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…f771backed Yes | 12c | 1,076$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Yes | 8c | 975$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Yes | 8c | 948.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…fbe0backed Yes | 11c | 891.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…1771backed Yes | 4c | 809$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 12c | 806.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…4925backed Yes | 5c | 783$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 1c | 778.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…91c8backed Yes | 18c | 774.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…cb71backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 16c | 745.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…afc8backed Yes | 2c | 730.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8d…e3ccbacked Yes | 2c | 705.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…5e10backed Yes | 16c | 687.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 673.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…77dfbacked Yes | 2c | 638.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…2561backed Yes | 5c | 627.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 12c | 616.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…0f41backed Yes | 9c | 600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 8c | 570.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 18c | 566.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…360fbacked Yes | 9c | 537.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 3c | 505.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 4c | 500.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…935cbacked Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…a403backed Yes | 21c | 486.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3961…1397backed Yes | 10c | 471.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 22c | 463.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…d9e3backed Yes | 11c | 448.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…0d19backed Yes | 8c | 443.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…09a8backed Yes | 12c | 420.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd9…2963backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 16c | 412.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…5e08backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 9c | 392.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…fe1abacked Yes | 27c | 375.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 10c | 360.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…365ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…c148backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…1164backed Yes | 4c | 287.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 8c | 276.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked Yes | 7c | 269.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aeb…1a36backed Yes | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae48…d9b6backed Yes | 12c | 250.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 18c | 248.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…b623backed Yes | 5c | 242.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes | 11c | 234.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 7c | 234$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…3449backed Yes | 23c | 217.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…86b9backed Yes | 10c | 200.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 13c | 191.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…c4ccbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 13c | 162.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.