Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Ethereum all time high in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf697858fecd884b8258868365aaef2dc7c88ad9732705bb8fb1b07a5bded0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $692,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e62…cf17backed Yes | 1c | 328,274$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…1db5backed Yes | 2c | 76,457$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…6212backed Yes | 2c | 31,931$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 24,997$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…57cdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,736$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,814$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 9,876$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 4,845$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,528$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,648$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…5b2dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 1c | 3,094$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…bd54backed Yes | 1c | 2,687$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…5570backed Yes | 1c | 2,069$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 1c | 1,955$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…1f66backed Yes | 1c | 1,441$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…3846backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…16d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,304$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…d6f2backed Yes | 2c | 1,269$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…b036backed Yes | 1c | 1,190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a78…5342backed Yes | 1c | 1,155$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…d355backed Yes | 1c | 1,019$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…bf39backed Yes | 1c | 775.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…81c7backed Yes | 2c | 719.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…651bbacked Yes | 2c | 528.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 70c | 63.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.