TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Zealandof New Zealand, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,035 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e02…d70abacked South Africa6c27,876$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.7836445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed South Africa5c20,545$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.464637%17 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…0960backed South Africa1c13,847$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0de…9635backed South Africa0c13,313$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked South Africa5c7,579$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0922552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8dc…17b6backed South Africa0c7,395$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked South Africa9c7,225$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.4611153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Africa14c6,762$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.4929631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked South Africa38c3,446$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.391241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b88…b89abacked South Africa8c2,200$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Africa26c2,003$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.7542344.2%187 W · 236 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed New Zealand70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.997261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked New Zealand69c1,672$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6110863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed New Zealand80c1,651$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.071464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed South Africa2c1,504$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.267931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed South Africa4c1,350$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.131027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3698…cabfbacked South Africa15c1,326$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…ab70backed South Africa6c1,277$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.969034.4%31 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed South Africa1c1,246$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.993698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed New Zealand76c1,005$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3112534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed South Africa5c914.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3531543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed South Africa24c853.85$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.852634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed South Africa4c708.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked South Africa23c654.88$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…f513backed New Zealand61c606.1$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked South Africa18c600$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10713241.7%55 W · 77 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xded4…3339backed South Africa36c563$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaba0…9f68backed South Africa36c557$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…42c0backed South Africa36c555$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked South Africa36c553.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x704d…9338backed South Africa36c551$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…a49ebacked South Africa35c550$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.511839.8%47 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c2…c0e3backed South Africa36c548$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02da…78ecbacked South Africa36c508$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed South Africa33c499.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9922241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Africa34c499.09$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.974254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ee…193ebacked South Africa36c498$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed New Zealand61c480.82$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe36f…1ef4backed South Africa31c470$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.86752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed New Zealand64c449.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed New Zealand72c448$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.475637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed South Africa6c439.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed New Zealand63c433.01$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2127054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked South Africa13c432.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2631050%155 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked New Zealand72c430$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.064940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed South Africa37c428$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5665451.1%334 W · 320 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked South Africa17c427.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7111424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…8a24backed South Africa36c418$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c66…4141backed South Africa36c417$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked South Africa7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66116.4%10 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb92a…3453backed South Africa23c400$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.214030%12 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd033…a7c1backed South Africa25c391.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed New Zealand75c385$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbeaf…baefbacked New Zealand67c336.3$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…c884backed South Africa36c333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed South Africa24c326.47$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed South Africa13c325.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421136.2%7 W · 106 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4a5…5ca4backed New Zealand64c325$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5421…8795backed New Zealand64c325$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd3…b751backed South Africa5c320$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-63.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2af…4751backed New Zealand64c316$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b1…bda1backed New Zealand64c316$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a9…48dabacked New Zealand64c316$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked South Africa20c314.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0764143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New Zealand71c314$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0650547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…0badbacked New Zealand64c313$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+186.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…003bbacked New Zealand64c312$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…16cbbacked New Zealand64c311$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New Zealand64c310.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5115650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked New Zealand68c300.6$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.429051.7%150 W · 140 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed New Zealand67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed South Africa5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11195.9%7 W · 112 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bc…600abacked New Zealand64c295$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…36f1backed New Zealand64c294$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecd…e7ebbacked New Zealand59c288.78$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.914146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed New Zealand67c285.12$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.131030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed South Africa30c283.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854250%21 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ee…19c7backed New Zealand64c279$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8be…1036backed New Zealand64c278$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…af35backed South Africa18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-71.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0c…0707backed South Africa36c276$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae98…6167backed South Africa36c273$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed New Zealand60c266$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.44544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc594…99fdbacked New Zealand64c264$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc865…3178backed New Zealand64c262$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed New Zealand61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99740.2%39 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed New Zealand67c236.1$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11bc…4c86backed New Zealand64c234$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b3…f307backed New Zealand64c231$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c40…af19backed South Africa5c230$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed South Africa34c226.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0312842.2%54 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New Zealand64c225$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818925.8%23 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed South Africa15c210.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.110241.2%42 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d45…b52ebacked South Africa36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed South Africa17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3418541.6%77 W · 108 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked South Africa25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37fd…0c68backed New Zealand64c187$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23d…d9aabacked New Zealand64c187$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9af1…df2cbacked South Africa27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011134.2%38 W · 73 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked New Zealand73c184.03$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.