Euroleague · resolved market
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Qingdao Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2399ce11b0b996e1fab7022c92812adb59b88ca1057a2e556c20ea84367dafff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Eaglesof Nanjing Monkey King, Qingdao Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nanjing Monkey King | 0c | 7,490$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nanjing Monkey King | 31c | 1,868$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.88 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Qingdao Eagles | 71c | 1,299$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.85 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nanjing Monkey King | 8c | 1,230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 28c | 1,034$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Nanjing Monkey King | 8c | 874$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Qingdao Eagles | 67c | 713.44$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Qingdao Eagles | 73c | 612$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 22c | 412.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 76c | 313.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 16c | 312.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nanjing Monkey King | 7c | 246.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nanjing Monkey King | 18c | 246.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nanjing Monkey King | 25c | 241.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 28c | 218.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 78c | 178.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nanjing Monkey King | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Nanjing Monkey King | 18c | 148$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…001ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 32c | 94.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Qingdao Eagles | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 17c | 60.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nanjing Monkey King | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nanjing Monkey King | 28c | 58.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 18c | 58.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Qingdao Eagles | 68c | 56.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Qingdao Eagles | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Nanjing Monkey King | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Qingdao Eagles | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Qingdao Eagles | 71c | 32.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Qingdao Eagles | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Qingdao Eagles | 69c | 23.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…28e0backed Qingdao Eagles | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Qingdao Eagles | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Qingdao Eagles | 71c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.