Tennis · resolved market
Zadar: Henri Squire vs Stefan Palosi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6715e36fcab956e932fc521682679ef40e7e3893d77c1d61798414ac5d1f349f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henri Squireof Henri Squire, Stefan Palosi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stefan Palosi | 1c | 15,609$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Palosi | 1c | 6,516$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefan Palosi | 19c | 6,038$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefan Palosi | 10c | 2,967$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stefan Palosi | 7c | 1,864$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Henri Squire | 74c | 1,650$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.41 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Henri Squire | 68c | 1,592$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.49 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Stefan Palosi | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefan Palosi | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Stefan Palosi | 12c | 1,250$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stefan Palosi | 9c | 1,077$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Stefan Palosi | 19c | 797.29$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Palosi | 18c | 667.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stefan Palosi | 24c | 543.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Stefan Palosi | 3c | 541$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefan Palosi | 29c | 459.93$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Stefan Palosi | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Stefan Palosi | 26c | 425$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Stefan Palosi | 37c | 404.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Henri Squire | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefan Palosi | 30c | 363.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Henri Squire | 74c | 290.68$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Stefan Palosi | 30c | 285.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Stefan Palosi | 26c | 273.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Stefan Palosi | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Stefan Palosi | 30c | 257.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Stefan Palosi | 30c | 254.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stefan Palosi | 19c | 247$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Stefan Palosi | 16c | 242.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Stefan Palosi | 18c | 242$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Henri Squire | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Stefan Palosi | 6c | 227.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Henri Squire | 77c | 226.78$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Henri Squire | 70c | 217.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Henri Squire | 77c | 207.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Stefan Palosi | 29c | 205.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Stefan Palosi | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Henri Squire | 73c | 190.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Henri Squire | 69c | 173.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Stefan Palosi | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Henri Squire | 79c | 149.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Henri Squire | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Stefan Palosi | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefan Palosi | 22c | 128.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Stefan Palosi | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked Stefan Palosi | 31c | 104.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stefan Palosi | 21c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Henri Squire | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Stefan Palosi | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stefan Palosi | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Stefan Palosi | 20c | 87.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked Henri Squire | 73c | 83.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Stefan Palosi | 31c | 72.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…9588backed Henri Squire | 71c | 71.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Henri Squire | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Stefan Palosi | 17c | 60.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Henri Squire | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stefan Palosi | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Stefan Palosi | 30c | 41.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…28e0backed Henri Squire | 70c | 32.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Henri Squire | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Henri Squire | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Henri Squire | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Henri Squire | 75c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.0wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Henri Squire | 71c | 25.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Henri Squire | 70c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Henri Squire | 71c | 25.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Henri Squire | 75c | 21.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Henri Squire | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Henri Squire | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Henri Squire | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…ec76backed Henri Squire | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Henri Squire | 78c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Henri Squire | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 104 | 74%77 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Henri Squire | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Henri Squire | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zadar: Henri Squire vs Stefan Palosithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Squire vs PalosiSquire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.