Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96d4edf057ba1fb3ce0746f5af6d19d5418c19cc563cde67871e78bf3bcb6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,022 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 73c | 24,182$17,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 32c | 15,670$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.4 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 8,773$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 5,879$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 1,477$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.82 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 6c | 1,198$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 844.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 506.66$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 27c | 450.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 241.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 13c | 232.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 168.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 28c | 161.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 69c | 145.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 65c | 140.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 14c | 126.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 119.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 35c | 98.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed No | 32c | 82.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 61c | 80.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…914cbacked Yes | 78c | 72.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 70.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 66c | 59.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 27c | 56.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 44.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 33c | 39.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 37c | 31.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…25e3backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…98c5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked Yes | 65c | 27.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…34efbacked Yes | 69c | 14.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC København vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?No won
- Will FC København win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.