Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd8f40a6d18cc76c0aa7c341431df36224233fdc4568cd250b8985aad27912e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,329 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 2,440$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,196$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,121$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 800$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 710$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 567.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 30c | 535$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 28c | 533.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7196…08d3backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 360.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 331.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9646…3bc4backed Yes | 72c | 323.14$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 27c | 148.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 72c | 147.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked No | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 116.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…2aebbacked No | 27c | 114.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 16c | 94.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 74c | 94.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 73c | 82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 73.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…5d00backed Yes | 73c | 68.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed No | 31c | 66.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 71c | 48.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 29c | 47.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…b01ebacked Yes | 72c | 44.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 28c | 36.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…e658backed Yes | 71c | 27.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 52c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 50c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 58c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will FC København vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.