CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95db6d2842db4ddeb072163769febbc2d97cbbc25330dc2044d767eb9bf46bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Brute | 21c | 11,645$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…16f4backed Brute | 0c | 7,708$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed illwill | 66c | 4,480$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.76 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 21c | 1,782$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.86 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Brute | 10c | 1,668$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed illwill | 58c | 1,300$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked illwill | 61c | 1,222$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.86 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed illwill | 78c | 982.27$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Brute | 16c | 770$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 72c | 678.01$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 22c | 651.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 36c | 647.39$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…5c3dbacked Brute | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked Brute | 10c | 499.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed illwill | 76c | 430$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Brute | 21c | 349.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed illwill | 48c | 320.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked illwill | 68c | 274.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked illwill | 65c | 261.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Brute | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked illwill | 74c | 243.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…413fbacked Brute | 36c | 213$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed illwill | 55c | 181.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed illwill | 58c | 168.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed illwill | 66c | 148.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…1047backed Brute | 9c | 118.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Brute | 31c | 116.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Brute | 47c | 105.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked illwill | 78c | 105.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Brute | 31c | 100.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed illwill | 74c | 100.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked illwill | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed illwill | 74c | 67.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 51 | 78.4%40 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked illwill | 62c | 63.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed illwill | 71c | 61.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Brute | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed illwill | 78c | 49.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brute | 36c | 45.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…7263backed Brute | 31c | 42.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed illwill | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked illwill | 80c | 37.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed illwill | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed illwill | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…3b29backed illwill | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.