TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cary: Jack Kennedy vs Kaichi Uchida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jack Kennedyof Jack Kennedy, Kaichi Uchida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Kaichi Uchida13c6,157$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.994,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kaichi Uchida13c4,784$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kaichi Uchida12c2,062$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kaichi Uchida12c1,116$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.868,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Kaichi Uchida28c1,022$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Kaichi Uchida12c833.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Jack Kennedy63c773.07$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.251,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jack Kennedy65c741.39$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.542,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jack Kennedy77c707.4$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.055,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Kaichi Uchida12c694.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6719410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Kaichi Uchida36c599.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.027,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kaichi Uchida37c546.09$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.573,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Kaichi Uchida35c440$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Kaichi Uchida12c439$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.018442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Kaichi Uchida20c408.65$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.221,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jack Kennedy77c374.76$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.953,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Jack Kennedy56c359.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.261,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Jack Kennedy64c346.29$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.081,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed Jack Kennedy64c306.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.983271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kaichi Uchida28c304.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.31,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Kaichi Uchida12c288.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.137716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kaichi Uchida38c250$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Jack Kennedy65c237.68$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.351,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jack Kennedy75c237.21$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.068,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Jack Kennedy64c223.93$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0135932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Kaichi Uchida37c202.14$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.739924.2%24 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kaichi Uchida33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Jack Kennedy62c195.44$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.882,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Kaichi Uchida31c162.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.979646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Jack Kennedy65c151.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Kaichi Uchida36c151.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.413,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b1…7d20backed Kaichi Uchida13c146.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.574422.7%10 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Kaichi Uchida38c132.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jack Kennedy77c130.45$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.826,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Kaichi Uchida12c129.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.516149.2%30 W · 31 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jack Kennedy67c115.92$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.651,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Jack Kennedy69c112.79$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1816355.8%91 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Kaichi Uchida26c107.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Kaichi Uchida36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.11,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Kaichi Uchida36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.927437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37a6…6684backed Kaichi Uchida26c99.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.899564.2%61 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kaichi Uchida15c94.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.016,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe2…697abacked Kaichi Uchida36c83.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.212029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Kaichi Uchida38c81.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.455032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Kaichi Uchida32c78.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8560141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Jack Kennedy73c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Kaichi Uchida33c74.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7321841.3%90 W · 128 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Kaichi Uchida19c69.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kaichi Uchida24c62.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kaichi Uchida38c62.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6274346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Kaichi Uchida25c59.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kaichi Uchida19c53.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.186,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Jack Kennedy65c51.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9133152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Kaichi Uchida32c50.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Kaichi Uchida37c50.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5235349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Kaichi Uchida25c46.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5236154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Kaichi Uchida33c45.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Kaichi Uchida35c41.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.882159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Kaichi Uchida36c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Kaichi Uchida33c40.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jack Kennedy73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.341,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Jack Kennedy65c30.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5312658.7%74 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Jack Kennedy57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9639759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Kaichi Uchida41c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Jack Kennedy64c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Jack Kennedy66c17.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Jack Kennedy68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7773951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.