Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6cc3aba32ef5abcd1a13289d4161f5aee4be80c3c6d0238c15e2de13a4ee90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 3,971$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.02 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 49c | 2,816$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.05 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,250$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 1,816$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.86 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 49c | 1,293$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.79 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 35c | 934.94$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 70c | 846.64$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.67 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed No | 56c | 683.17$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 671.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.05 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 659.17$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 28c | 525.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 25c | 452.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 71c | 397.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 356.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 45c | 325.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Yes | 62c | 321.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 56c | 309.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 34c | 309.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 302.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 301.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 27c | 271.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +266.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 67c | 245.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 63c | 230.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Yes | 43c | 151.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 35c | 130.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 43c | 102.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 97.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 89.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 88.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 31c | 79.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 25c | 64.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 65c | 56.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yes | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 28.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-06-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.