Tennis · resolved market
ITF Galati: Giulia Safina Popa vs Anastasia Safta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd734faf21f5ace3e14f3d8dde161caa8b70a6941af506c9a146eaa5ca966b135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giulia Safina Popaof Giulia Safina Popa, Anastasia Safta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anastasia Safta | 23c | 1,754$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.06 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…3aa4backed Giulia Safina Popa | 65c | 1,016$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasia Safta | 41c | 231.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anastasia Safta | 42c | 216.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Anastasia Safta | 42c | 183$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Giulia Safina Popa | 52c | 155.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Anastasia Safta | 42c | 135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Anastasia Safta | 32c | 113.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giulia Safina Popa | 68c | 104.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Anastasia Safta | 34c | 77.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasia Safta | 26c | 48.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anastasia Safta | 40c | 47.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 75c | 46.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Giulia Safina Popa | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Giulia Safina Popa | 65c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Giulia Safina Popa | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Giulia Safina Popa | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Giulia Safina Popa | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.