TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Athletics, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$395,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,414 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Los Angeles Angels50c191,360$94,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,409.8746949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Athletics50c78,580$39,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,289.9885645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,60077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics50c34,818$17,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,565.13,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels49c24,799$12,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,735.954,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Angels70c19,795$13,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.571,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics51c15,249$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels75c13,326$10,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.072,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics26c13,104$3,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.574,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Athletics47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9836246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels49c9,693$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,943.4392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics54c9,260$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,982.119950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics4c9,052$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.554,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Athletics16c8,916$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.4311548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics49c7,352$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.994,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Athletics52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x372e…d58ebacked Athletics3c4,986$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.64425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics26c4,781$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.4612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics50c4,712$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35621644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics17c4,606$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.6695045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Athletics50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Athletics50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Athletics50c3,991$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.22,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics31c3,903$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.598,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels64c3,827$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.0211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels75c3,798$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.988,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Athletics7c3,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics12c2,582$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Los Angeles Angels47c2,267$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.775276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics50c2,053$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.216,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Athletics50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00043253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Athletics4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics50c1,988$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.873,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics10c1,818$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.358,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Athletics18c1,743$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8113225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Athletics5c1,735$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics53c1,476$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.281,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9b9…04f6backed Athletics13c1,243$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.543828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked Athletics14c1,243$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.78729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Athletics4c1,220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Athletics7c1,199$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3584140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Athletics50c1,142$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.1954945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics51c1,109$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.232,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletics51c1,100$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5591,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Athletics51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Athletics50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Los Angeles Angels51c975.59$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.0448147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics50c922.73$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.961,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Athletics10c898.4$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.841717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics10c841.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.72,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics4c800$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fa…455cbacked Athletics6c744$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2710145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Athletics20c644.62$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.922,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics35c594.39$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.054,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Los Angeles Angels47c529.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.5921354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics22c521.27$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4685148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Athletics10c505.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.547545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Athletics52c504$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6813649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Athletics50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25037748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Athletics50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Athletics7c499.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510636.8%39 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics50c474.88$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.442,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Athletics37c471.49$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4552228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics52c464.19$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3857548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Los Angeles Angels54c460$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.45145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels51c452$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.481,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics51c451.1$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.72,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed Athletics8c450.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.372846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Los Angeles Angels47c420$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.61,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Athletics50c416.6$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.34450%22 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics12c403.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Athletics50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20077647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels56c397.91$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.023,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Athletics6c362.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1510143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Athletics11c357.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8723145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics12c342.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.641,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Los Angeles Angels62c329.55$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.234454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Athletics10c327.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7231848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Athletics8c325.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0220539.5%81 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Athletics17c322.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.675,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Athletics8c313.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Athletics14c308.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.321,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Athletics53c300.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5395252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Athletics50c298.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Athletics51c294$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9437944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Athletics51c260$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Athletics7c248.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.371,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1405…9882backed Athletics52c247.54$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.728547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Los Angeles Angels48c245$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.450647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Athletics24c242.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5915052.7%79 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Athletics5c235.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.043929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics50c220$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.62,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Athletics46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028045.7%128 W · 152 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Angels48c212.15$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.951,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Los Angeles Angels47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.31,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Los Angeles Angels50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10039440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Los Angeles Angels50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Athletics51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8613542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.