TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c77,677$7,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,700.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c16,612$6,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,590.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes5c11,474$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6140515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No42c10,711$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,181.823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes5c10,123$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.428435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No74c10,000$7,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.741,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No56c8,425$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.3139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c5,183$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes39c5,115$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.051,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes21c4,811$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes32c4,735$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5159840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c66…d197backed Yes0c4,535$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes5c4,167$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ea…992ebacked Yes6c4,095$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes34c3,784$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.931,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No66c3,756$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.0823750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No72c3,562$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9248438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes6c3,201$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…9358backed Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes41c2,863$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.4733843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fa…a23dbacked Yes7c2,783$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick18cpaid+233.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes20c2,546$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…f42dbacked Yes5c2,496$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.83110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes4c2,489$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.21,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes4c2,280$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No72c2,197$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.3721749.8%108 W · 109 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes4c2,139$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4931611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes67c2,090$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86f0…2896backed Yes47c2,032$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.1518231.9%58 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes55c1,939$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.4214030.7%43 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes5c1,902$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51a…7e42backed Yes5c1,879$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.115012%6 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes45c1,877$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.7751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f54…ac8dbacked Yes5c1,852$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012133.1%40 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c1,809$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.72,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Yes49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8826653%35 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No77c1,737$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.22,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes35c1,718$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes6c1,705$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3129017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Yes6c1,680$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No77c1,650$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.1734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac35…c2d4backed Yes37c1,627$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56f7…5581backed Yes41c1,398$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.164746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No65c1,274$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.91,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c1,270$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d9…d57bbacked Yes6c1,260$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes61c1,165$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.229540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9774…6e60backed Yes6c1,125$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes33c1,059$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.262,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes5c1,033$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes5c1,019$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes6c1,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…7348backed Yes52c999.98$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.991942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…e4afbacked Yes5c978.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes28c917.36$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1910929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes6c883.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No67c876.1$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes6c836.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5345424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…0b8dbacked Yes6c833.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes6c829.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87e…252dbacked Yes6c829.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505529.1%16 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2840…7059backed Yes43c803.13$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.46241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8dd…21a8backed No50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285e…8418backed Yes6c798.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No57c798.26$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6517442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes26c773.54$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8a…9b1ebacked Yes6c722.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes25c711.17$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes5c700$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes28c692.61$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8313922.3%31 W · 108 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes39c630.22$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.821,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes6c609.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7264…8121backed Yes58c601.71$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.387528%21 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…da63backed Yes51c593.93$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.892737%10 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Yes15c589.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.42313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No53c532.2$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes5c520.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257115.5%11 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed No59c509.96$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3722147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes6c500$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915420.8%32 W · 122 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x643d…98bebacked No50c491.34$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d88…da04backed Yes6c489.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No74c488.87$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6950833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes4c483.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011828.8%34 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes22c453.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes6c446.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500c…8acdbacked Yes34c444.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505129.4%15 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes7c441.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301005%5 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes33c433.49$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3122931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes5c425.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes10c397.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bed…438cbacked Yes20c394.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8113529.6%40 W · 95 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes5c391.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1319251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd7…a7b1backed Yes30c388.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.173345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…bbb0backed Yes37c372.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.61933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6577…fdaebacked Yes5c370.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a1…49ccbacked Yes5c365.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.193053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa425…1d81backed Yes5c365$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.923324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.