TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$383,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c32,745$6,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,201.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c25,608$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No25c10,000$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.91,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes79c8,527$6,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.071,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes61c8,167$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes20c6,714$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,39611421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No5c5,464$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No15c5,234$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.1423540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No75c4,924$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.5470750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No70c4,711$3,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.1423750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No70c4,435$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.0448438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes74c4,067$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.813933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes14c3,525$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.0932429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes4c3,438$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,293.729017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes3c3,214$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.4860821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes17c3,055$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.2111723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes4c2,434$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.8617518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes3c2,121$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.2122914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes1c2,040$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.4232422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No66c1,931$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.092,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No47c1,594$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.572,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes4c1,512$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.0236024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes4c1,282$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.056729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No14c1,266$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.332,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes4c1,231$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.9730219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes4c1,121$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.67913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes18c1,102$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4719529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes4c959.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.4853514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No46c954.63$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b5…7b80backed Yes4c795.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.54214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick11cpaid+32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes23c784.33$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.2650833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes3c781.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.257115.5%11 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes4c775.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.981756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Yes4c750$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes7c744.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.6746012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes18c722.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.226266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes5c698.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.327811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e8…afdbbacked Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.677454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes3c625$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60531119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd7…a7b1backed Yes47c623.69$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.443345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c2…e754backed Yes74c615.98$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.772373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes69c609.15$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1938960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes3c606.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.0625018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes18c589.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.0613922.3%31 W · 108 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes68c583.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9634731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes18c556.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.5915650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78e1…e49abacked Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.568433.3%28 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Yes2c546.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1213528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes3c535.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.192187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes73c509.18$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.66041.7%25 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes77c500$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.55328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes4c500$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48018736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes15c499.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9925510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes3c491.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5840515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes4c487.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.828716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes7c479.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.937237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93d…62febacked Yes77c474.37$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.376541.5%27 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x517a…eb45backed Yes3c454.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.55825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+368.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9afe…7b07backed Yes5c439.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.39488.3%4 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50d4…59a5backed Yes4c425$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4084928.6%14 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f47…08b4backed Yes18c418.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.943622.2%8 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes3c414.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8713718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes4c394.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.7422216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes3c385$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.832825%7 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c14…a20abacked Yes80c366.56$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.311181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Yes4c365.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8514323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf2…6599backed Yes18c364.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0710644.3%47 W · 59 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes3c363.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6430831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes18c360.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0940912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed No18c354.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1222560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fa…a23dbacked Yes12c341.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.77560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick18cpaid+233.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46f7…6ae0backed Yes4c315.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.795413%7 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes3c312.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.517223.3%40 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes3c310$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.661124.5%5 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No24c303.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8119531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e63…d952backed Yes9c294.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+989.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No17c279.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5224146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7019…2e31backed Yes4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012733.1%42 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Yes4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24029639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa369…6686backed Yes4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed Yes21c238.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.332842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d0…6110backed Yes18c225.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.449845.9%45 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes45c213.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1410416.3%17 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc532…e86fbacked Yes73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.485844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x087a…bb87backed Yes15c194.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2713930.9%43 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Yes19c193.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.855062%31 W · 19 L+10.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf6e9…9756backed Yes18c191.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5316147.2%76 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No17c188.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2417442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes16c184$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.563417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No12c180$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes17c168.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.622421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes18c165.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9510041%41 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes15c159.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2345528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d95…54efbacked No72c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.456124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes70c149.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829c…e098backed Yes9c142.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0713540%54 W · 81 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.