Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60edae3fe128647fbb3d7ce765a4f2978ae8b4467d597d96303f6961cbae61a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 25,098$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 2c | 10,424$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…ad83backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,563$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,399$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.85 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 2c | 5,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 5c | 4,588$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 4c | 4,095$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 2c | 3,300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,968$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,882$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 1,530$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 2c | 1,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,342$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,310$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…039bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,164$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 12.3%9 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 2c | 1,073$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…95a3backed Yes | 5c | 1,044$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…08d3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…6130backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 3c | 999.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 2c | 940.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 3c | 896.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…1d81backed Yes | 2c | 872.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 3c | 799.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 2c | 766$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6e60backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Yes | 2c | 713.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8386backed Yes | 2c | 693.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…59a5backed Yes | 2c | 629.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 2c | 625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 2c | 570$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 4c | 554.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…dcabbacked Yes | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 10c | 524.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 8c | 515.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…7b80backed Yes | 10c | 512.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…04c5backed Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 3c | 423.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Yes | 7c | 372.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…6cebbacked Yes | 7c | 291.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 17.1%26 W · 126 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…afddbacked Yes | 20c | 203.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…9101backed Yes | 11c | 183.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 136.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 13c | 129.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…4cdbbacked Yes | 8c | 121.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…b890backed Yes | 11c | 113.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…ee32backed Yes | 17c | 100.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.