Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec76a6552dc1a8828bbb30e298ee1266926a1d71d60f9dcfd2244d51cc72ee84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 81,319$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 3c | 25,268$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 3c | 5,753$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 7c | 5,048$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 4c | 4,670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 7c | 3,062$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,693$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 8c | 2,509$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 3c | 2,136$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 2,127$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 4c | 2,020$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 4c | 1,518$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…252dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 18c | 1,104$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,067$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…438cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,060$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 29.6%40 W · 95 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 8c | 928.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 18c | 837.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…a587backed Yes | 2c | 808.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 3c | 781.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 749.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 3c | 679.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes | 3c | 677.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 3c | 517.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 4c | 499.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 19c | 493.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 4c | 452$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 4c | 446.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 3c | 429.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…82bfbacked Yes | 4c | 424.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…caddbacked Yes | 5c | 420.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 7c | 399.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…82d1backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 4c | 371.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 367.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…94bdbacked Yes | 6c | 339.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 8c | 334.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 20c | 314.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b5…255ebacked Yes | 7c | 289.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 7c | 276$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 7c | 217.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…029fbacked Yes | 19c | 160.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes | 8c | 157.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…b3d7backed Yes | 7c | 156$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 155$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 12c | 129.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 120.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…6d1dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 18c | 110.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.