TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c81,319$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes3c25,268$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.951429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes3c5,753$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes7c5,048$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37717733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes4c4,670$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes7c3,062$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3835446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes10c2,693$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.421,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes8c2,509$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8231611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes3c2,136$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.541,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes5c2,127$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes4c2,020$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.869819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes4c1,518$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87e…252dbacked Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes3c1,160$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.763,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes18c1,104$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes3c1,067$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613922.3%31 W · 108 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bed…438cbacked Yes19c1,060$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013529.6%40 W · 95 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes4c999.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915420.8%32 W · 122 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes8c928.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes18c837.66$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9510929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…a587backed Yes2c808.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes3c781.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257115.5%11 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes3c749.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7540515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes3c679.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4444524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes3c677.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219942.4%42 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes3c517.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106710.4%7 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes4c499.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes19c493.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes4c452$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.962,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes4c446.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015519.4%30 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes3c429.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.771,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4552…82bfbacked Yes4c424.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61d…caddbacked Yes5c420.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2512927.9%36 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes7c399.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.220511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7514…82d1backed Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525127.1%68 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes4c371.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.527732.5%90 W · 187 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes4c367.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e58…94bdbacked Yes6c339.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012118.2%22 W · 99 L+0.5wins0.00per pick18cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Yes8c334.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279318.3%17 W · 76 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes20c314.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.511,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.314719.7%29 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes4c299.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.314244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b5…255ebacked Yes7c289.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes7c276$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.517211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes7c217.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15345.9%2 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.239932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7525…ad62backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013215.2%20 W · 112 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce9…029fbacked Yes19c160.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes8c157.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125710.5%6 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612a…b3d7backed Yes7c156$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.552857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes20c155$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.551,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a9…7311backed Yes12c129.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154114.6%6 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes9c120.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7214444.4%64 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Yes21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9639043.6%170 W · 220 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ba1…6d1dbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes18c110.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0020…16b9backed Yes18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26636.4%24 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.