Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede7daa440e75efb7b581eb4d92129ef7cc28ad87335a6c28c56bec8f7fb51c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 24,780$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 8c | 11,855$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…0118backed Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…cee0backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,873$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 8c | 1,413$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…07d7backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 8c | 1,235$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…bd06backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…533dbacked Yes | 8c | 513.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…c902backed Yes | 9c | 422.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 8c | 411.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…77f3backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Yes | 9c | 373.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 8c | 364.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…d2d1backed Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…de81backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes | 9c | 281.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 28.9%63 W · 155 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 9c | 280.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…a739backed Yes | 8c | 263.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 6c | 259.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…1767backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…50dfbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…823dbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…af96backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…2d9bbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3549…f6f9backed Yes | 8c | 186.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 8c | 180.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 7c | 177.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Yes | 7c | 170.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…eac4backed Yes | 8c | 155.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 150.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Yes | 7c | 135.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 8c | 128$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…a800backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…3296backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…2f17backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…037cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…ba6bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…4e02backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…e8a8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…f98abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.