Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e711ee92ba78fde4bcd39a21f1b973c19dd2f4e9f3bd2cf23935e7ee17ec67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 1c | 12,687$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 10,028$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 1,730$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…2062backed Yes | 15c | 1,700$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,026$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes | 10c | 775$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 7c | 615.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 259 | 37.5%97 W · 162 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 8c | 555.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 15c | 548.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…0981backed Yes | 7c | 303.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…1a28backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 7c | 299.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…3769backed Yes | 13c | 237.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…26f9backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…027cbacked Yes | 8c | 185.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 12c | 125.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…7a7cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…a53cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 122.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…d378backed Yes | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6266…a955backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…738dbacked Yes | 14c | 81.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…ebe2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.