Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d3e1ef1656d6129ce76fef95492a379dd60ae45278e1f4bf094d4c1f2bb067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Yes | 9c | 15,010$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 10,146$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 3,045$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.6 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 8c | 2,278$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 9c | 1,668$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 78c | 1,601$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes | 9c | 1,560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…deedbacked Yes | 21c | 1,493$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,478$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…f22cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,410$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,045$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 79c | 964.33$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…c4a7backed Yes | 10c | 958.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…164dbacked Yes | 22c | 919.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 11c | 810.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 13c | 808.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes | 21c | 707.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 22c | 686.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…1203backed Yes | 21c | 578$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…1a28backed Yes | 9c | 532.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 22c | 461.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 22c | 460.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 456.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 440.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 18c | 308.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 20c | 307.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 4c | 290.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…3769backed Yes | 12c | 283.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…f7a0backed Yes | 11c | 281.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3f81backed Yes | 9c | 280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…a7b1backed Yes | 20c | 248.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…2b1abacked Yes | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 20c | 216$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 15c | 195.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 21c | 179.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…edc7backed Yes | 14c | 164$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 21c | 156.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 154.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…0d26backed Yes | 21c | 148.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes | 13c | 146.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 13c | 146.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…e4d4backed Yes | 22c | 138.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…7abfbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f2c3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…25b5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…e226backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…a0eebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +146%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…bcdcbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…738dbacked Yes | 11c | 99.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…0788backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 13c | 82.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Yes | 21c | 60.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 56.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea1…7a5fbacked No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.