TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c41,638$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes8c3,188$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.046134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes7c1,614$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…ead3backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-43.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes11c1,314$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes7c1,098$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.212,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0448…6cebbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015217.1%26 W · 126 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Yes5c999.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes10c962.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2937237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Yes7c961.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes7c913.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes7c842.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5915722.9%36 W · 121 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes6c800$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes5c772.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.872,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba9…2e70backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019817.2%34 W · 164 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc2…7639backed Yes7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes7c642.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…9050backed Yes2c557$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44f9…992abacked Yes6c517.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-60.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…cd64backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6421…d815backed Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes16c499.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.54531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…d35fbacked Yes7c430$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15317%9 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb241…902cbacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307223.6%17 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3512…e2d6backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdeb…50dfbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes7c383$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8122449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x074b…af96backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515836.7%58 W · 100 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ca…2f70backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258459.5%50 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a03…d2d1backed Yes6c329.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Yes7c320$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.611034.5%38 W · 72 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc475…17bfbacked Yes7c309.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.641478.8%13 W · 134 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes5c307.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8234330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2426738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8b…9158backed Yes7c295.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208421.4%18 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c6…f54ebacked Yes7c271.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192015%3 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes7c257.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186710.4%7 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510022%22 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes6c238.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes7c228.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes12c222$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.188318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x517a…eb45backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+368.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d6…027cbacked Yes7c210.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes6c208.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6573626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x946e…2533backed Yes7c208.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6899backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…db9bbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414634.2%50 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121124.5%5 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d8c…00ddbacked Yes7c199$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes7c195.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6945627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3417…ee72backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebda…5208backed Yes7c185.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d4…59a5backed Yes7c185.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134928.6%14 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes7c171.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes8c152.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1644524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…d37bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011754.7%64 W · 53 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d58…80b2backed Yes17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114739.5%58 W · 89 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes20c54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.