Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Anna Frey vs Darja Vidmanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa74df11b9a212a578c6f80bbf807ffac68cb39d59bf85f4f3565628087419c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vidmanovaof Frey, Vidmanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Frey | 14c | 6,882$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Frey | 18c | 3,397$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.96 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Frey | 12c | 3,369$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb030…f140backed Frey | 16c | 3,057$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed Frey | 12c | 2,493$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Frey | 19c | 1,553$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Frey | 15c | 1,504$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Frey | 14c | 1,496$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4a8fbacked Frey | 15c | 933.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Frey | 15c | 641.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Frey | 18c | 557.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Frey | 17c | 556$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Frey | 21c | 542$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Frey | 20c | 501.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Frey | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…40dbbacked Frey | 24c | 437.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Frey | 17c | 427.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Frey | 9c | 401.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Frey | 14c | 356.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Frey | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Frey | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Frey | 9c | 204$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Frey | 15c | 153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Frey | 14c | 142.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Vidmanova | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Vidmanova | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Frey | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Frey | 15c | 100.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Frey | 14c | 92.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Frey | 15c | 91.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Frey | 17c | 90.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Frey | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Frey | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vidmanova | 78c | 34.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.