Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30421f988f3125e0b5365a399e88194bcc93256c11f36d1279adffd4d7a005c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x819f…f200backed Yes | 16c | 18,898$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed Yes | 12c | 6,671$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.33 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…15aebacked Yes | 17c | 5,986$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,656$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,580$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 21c | 3,314$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 3c | 3,181$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 73c | 3,100$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.54 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 9c | 2,681$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 2,440$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…2c8abacked Yes | 19c | 2,322$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 9c | 2,138$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,009$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 1,397$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,089$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…f1c9backed Yes | 46c | 1,014$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 3c | 999.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 10c | 919.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.68 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…fbc2backed Yes | 13c | 888.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 2c | 877.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 12c | 726.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 58c | 718.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 2c | 705$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…cab6backed Yes | 6c | 678.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…2d35backed Yes | 45c | 668.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 25c | 634.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 71c | 625.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 58c | 599.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 12c | 557.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 34c | 511.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 19c | 471.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed No | 77c | 455.69$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 18c | 450$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 13c | 449.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 24c | 419.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 39c | 399.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 8c | 399.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 379.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 365.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 14c | 364$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 15c | 360.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 12c | 357.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b78…104fbacked Yes | 4c | 352.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…d5fcbacked Yes | 6c | 345.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 16c | 345$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 15c | 339.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 13c | 337.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed Yes | 18c | 334.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…47aabacked Yes | 7c | 330.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed Yes | 35c | 324.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Yes | 22c | 317.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…ab88backed Yes | 16c | 316.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 313.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…0402backed Yes | 5c | 306.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…4ab7backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed No | 74c | 299.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 57c | 299.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd651…8dcfbacked Yes | 4c | 282$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…0e62backed Yes | 15c | 279.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 12c | 269.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 268.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…c013backed Yes | 19c | 266.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…37b8backed Yes | 8c | 258.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 10c | 249.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…2965backed Yes | 21c | 236.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 10c | 224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…b759backed Yes | 6c | 220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…d2f8backed Yes | 16c | 219$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a02…6ed1backed Yes | 19c | 215.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…c8aabacked Yes | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2649…1f65backed Yes | 47c | 198.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…5aa5backed Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…3f1bbacked Yes | 7c | 189.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 13c | 180.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…8bfcbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…0f98backed Yes | 12c | 175.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 10c | 170.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…bd2bbacked Yes | 17c | 141.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c97…0004backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…ea97backed Yes | 15c | 130.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 67c | 119.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…9187backed Yes | 17c | 116.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…3fa4backed Yes | 18c | 116.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…7488backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…c12dbacked Yes | 19c | 107.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 21cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.