Champions League · resolved market
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf13427374c1ba31132c43e94ee1b24d4356f1a3ebe33e4ba56e8d4bedc5b81a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 61c | 1,661$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.35 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…3b6cbacked Yes | 39c | 615.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 58c | 516.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 61c | 502.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 45c | 330.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed No | 57c | 292.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 60c | 197.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 60c | 152.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 42c | 115.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 53c | 90.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…2db7backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 42c | 72.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +82%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed No | 62c | 65.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 61c | 56.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a63…ff8abacked Yes | 39c | 54.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…fcc9backed Yes | 53c | 37.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 60c | 35.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 59c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…7e5cbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 61c | 19.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Harry Kane: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Jamal Musiala: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Raphael Guerreiro: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.