Champions League · resolved market
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf782fd2ec2f5069fae5dacf2e22e6793f3ea576eee67913d20cbf418a8d879db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 54c | 1,261$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.83 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 55c | 865.88$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 55c | 763.28$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.8 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 53c | 706.11$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.34 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 47c | 534.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed Yes | 52c | 468.06$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 46c | 321.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 50c | 297.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 45c | 292.06$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 51c | 280.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 52c | 249.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 48c | 230.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Yes | 47c | 211.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 47c | 198.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 50c | 173.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 54c | 167.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Yes | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…5ec9backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…2acbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…489dbacked No | 55c | 106$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked Yes | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…e109backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 52c | 65.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 50c | 60.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 55c | 54.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…b830backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…bc2dbacked Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 49.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 46.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…7a64backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 55c | 42.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 42c | 40.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…686dbacked Yes | 45c | 36.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 54c | 35.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 45c | 32.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…be31backed Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…9881backed Yes | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff08…79fabacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 50c | 26.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…6debbacked No | 60c | 25.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…23f2backed No | 60c | 24.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6f…9b55backed No | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Jamal Musiala: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Raphael Guerreiro: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.