Champions League · resolved market
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee8a56f0f8e1e14fbf3f69145cc31f94f9cd127dfb9f31c944d910023e52c766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 61c | 5,116$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 40c | 1,569$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…5201backed Yes | 38c | 1,277$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 58c | 1,114$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.7 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 61c | 999$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.39 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 61c | 868.95$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.06 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 599.97$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.98 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 42c | 567.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 38c | 550$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 61c | 499.94$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 59c | 423.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e0…6829backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 38c | 394.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…3358backed Yes | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…b45ebacked Yes | 42c | 292$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 39c | 258.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…43c5backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes | 39c | 254.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 252.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 57c | 249.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…0869backed Yes | 38c | 231.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 43c | 210.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 61c | 198.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 63c | 180.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…7a4ebacked No | 65c | 151.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a63…ff8abacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…d390backed Yes | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…5ec9backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 60c | 77.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes | 40c | 75.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 61c | 68.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 55c | 58.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 44c | 56.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 60c | 54.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…d40bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9d…5169backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked No | 69c | 42.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…db2abacked Yes | 39c | 40.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…9b39backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 38.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa90c…23e0backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 41c | 31.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…0f91backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 39c | 26.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Harry Kane: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Jamal Musiala: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.