Champions League · resolved market
Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc29dfdfa19bb266509f1f577ae975fbfab196c990f97f49235b212c264df3dac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 1,999$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.54 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 76c | 1,941$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 23c | 1,217$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 25c | 699.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 75c | 694.22$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.55 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…8e0fbacked Yes | 23c | 426.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 23c | 246.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 23c | 168$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 166.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…c039backed Yes | 26c | 154.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…3282backed Yes | 29c | 133.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Yes | 25c | 131.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 70c | 72.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…2ce0backed Yes | 30c | 33.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 77c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…d516backed No | 78c | 12.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Harry Kane: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Jamal Musiala: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.