Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e97af01dfae50617c8f563b054c5aaaff2ad51b1593419ad8a0d90a61772140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 3,002$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.6 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,768$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 889.87$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.53 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 73c | 886.51$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 624.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 589.14$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 429.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 400.07$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 381.71$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 68c | 326.9$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +280.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 26c | 299.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 193.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 175.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 72c | 152.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 145$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c12fbacked Yes | 16c | 144.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 79c | 135.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…1153backed Yes | 26c | 129.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 21c | 128.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed No | 18c | 120.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 119.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 16c | 118.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 55c | 117.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 99.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 99.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 95.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 73c | 95.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 94.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 89.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 81.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 26c | 79.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 18cpaid | +471.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 73.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 24c | 63.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 63.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…58bdbacked Yes | 26c | 61.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 58.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 50.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…b93fbacked Yes | 24c | 49.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 27c | 48.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 48.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 27c | 48.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 73c | 48.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 69c | 45.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 28c | 44.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 68c | 44.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 43.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 26c | 40.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 75c | 35.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 69c | 30.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 75c | 27.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 74c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 58c | 23.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 74c | 23.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 75c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.